Trading Opportunity

Buy signal from rectangel formation in a rising trend

Theory: As described under "Rising trend and price near support", a stock within a rising trend is expected to continue rising. When a rectangle formation develops, a resistance is formed with sellers near the ceiling of the rectangle. When the price rises through the resistance this means that these sellers have been exhausted. The buying side is still the same size, but there is now a lack of sellers such that the price is driven higher. If one acts quickly and buys near the support (the old resistance) of the rectangle, one gets a good buying price and can place a tight stop loss. If the price has risen substantially after the break of the rectangle, it may be better to await a reaction back before buying.

Score: The formation's and the trend's quality, i.e. the similarity to a theoretically perfect formation and trend, are important for computing the score. The size of the formation and how long ago it was broken are also important contributors to the score. A price near the support of the formation results in a higher score than a price near the price target of the formation. If the price has reacted back below the support line after the break, this is negative. It is also negative if other formations have been formed after the break.

Kjøpskurs: Is set to the support of the formation and a little up (about 20% of the height of the formation).

Price target: Is set to 90-125% of the price target from the formation break.

Stop loss: Is set to 20% of the height of the formation below the signal level of the formation, i.e. about a fifth down in the formation. If one wishes more flexibility, a stop loss can be placed just below the middle of the formation.

Tidshorisont: >From 40% to 80% of the formation's height.