Hovedindeksen (OSEBX.OL)

Close: 1 468.66 (+3.83), Nov 22, 2024
Complete report

Algorithmic Overall Analysis

Positive (Score: 92)


Nov 22, 2024. Updated daily.

Analyst's Recommendation

Weak Positive


Nov 24, 2024. 0 days ago.

Analyses


Short

Medium

Long

Overall

Insider

Low risk

Liquidity risk: LowVolatility risk: Low

Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading

Stock data

Period  
Vol.bal. Volatility Liquidity +/- %
1 day-0.59%5 370.61+0.26%
5 days45.661.92%5 480.66+1.64%
22 days-13.724.54%5 749.87+2.00%
66 days2.218.08%5 431.05+3.07%
Price dateNov 22, 2024
CurrencyNOK
ISINNO0007035327
Rise from year low18.77%
Fall from year high0.00%


Automatic technical analysis. Short term

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) Short term

Short term

Hovedindeksen is within an approximate horizontal trend channel in the short term. This indicates that investors are uncertain and waiting for signals of further direction. A break upwards will be a positive signal, while a break downwards will be a negative signal. The index has given a positive signal from the rectangle formation by a break up through the resistance at 1462. Further rise to 1548 or more is signaled. The index has broken up through resistance at points 1462. This predicts a further rise. The index is overall assessed as technically positive for the short term.

Recommendation one to six weeks: Positive (Score: 93)

Automatic technical analysis. Medium term

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) Medium term

Medium term

Investors have paid higher prices over time to buy Hovedindeksen and the index is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term. Rising trends indicate that the market experiences positive development and that buy interest among investors is increasing. It also gave positive signal from the rectangle formation at the break up through the resistance at 1464. Further rise to 1523 or more is signaled. The index has broken up through resistance at points 1460. This predicts a further rise. The index is overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.

Recommendation one to six months: Positive (Score: 98)

Automatic technical analysis. Long term

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) Long term

Long term

Hovedindeksen is in a rising trend channel in the long term. This shows that investors over time have bought the index at higher prices and indicates good development for the market. There is no resistance in the price chart and further rise is indicated. In case of a negative reaction, the index has support at approximately 1300 points. The index is assessed as technically positive for the long term.

Recommendation one to six quarters: Positive (Score: 87)

Full history

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) Full history

Candlesticks 95 days

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) chart0

Candlesticks 22 days

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) chart0

Insider Trades

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) Insider trades reported last 18 months

Insider trades reported last 18 months. The stock is neutral on Insider Trades.

 Date Type Count Price Value Percent Controlled Text Importance 

Commentaries

chart Hovedindeksen (OSEBX) Medium term

Automatic technical analysis of the stock, based on last closing price. The chart may have changed since the analyst's recommendation was written.

Low risk

Liquidity risk: LowVolatility risk: Low

Analyst's Recommendation

Nov 24, 2024 (0 days ago)
Fredrik Dahl Bråten
fredrik.braten@investtech.com

Recommendation one to six months: Weak Positive

Fredrik Dahl Bråten, Nov 24, 2024 (price 1 468.66)

Det ble en svak stigning i markedet fredag, og Hovedindeksen endte på 1469 poeng, noe som er en oppgang på 0.3 prosent. Uken som helhet ga en oppgang på 1.6 prosent. Dette var den fjerde dag på rad indeksen steg.
Hovedindeksen utløste et kjøpssignal på økende volum ved bruddet opp gjennom motstanden rundt 1460 poeng i en rektangelformasjon. Foreløpig er bruddet ganske marginalt, og indeksen har flere ganger tidligere reagert ned igjen etter små brudd, så det er litt tidlig å fastslå at dette er en langsiktig, positiv endring. Indeksen ligger imidlertid fra før i en stigende trendkanal, og en videre oppgang innenfor den indikeres. Ved reaksjoner tilbake er det støtte fra 1460 og nedover mot rundt 1380 poeng.
Investtechs kortsiktige og langsiktige optimismeindekser (hausseindeksene) ligger på henholdsvis 42 og 43 poeng og indikerer en overvekt av pessimister blant både de kortsiktige og de langsiktige investorene på børsen. At hausseindeksene er såpass lave, og divergerer fra det positive tekniske bildet for Hovedindeksen, indikerer at markedet er ganske skjørt. Det er et fåtall store aksjer som har dratt indeksen, mens majoriteten av aksjene har utviklet seg negativt de siste månedene. Se Investtechs likeveide indeks for Norge, som ligger nesten ti prosent under toppen fra i sommer.
Styremedlemmer, direktører og andre innsidere har rapportert 120 handler den siste måneden, etter høy aktivitet de siste ukene. Siste måned var 88 prosent av handlene kjøp, noe som er godt over gjennomsnittet for hele det siste året. En stor overvekt av innsidere sender positive signaler ved kjøp av aksjer i egen bedrift.
Konklusjon: Oslo Børs anses svakt positiv på mellomlang sikt (1-6 måneder). Vi anbefaler langsiktige investorer å være investert i markedet hele tiden.
Recommendation one to six months: Weak Positive

Published: Morning Report (Nov 24, 2024 18:50) [FDB]

 

The analysis is written by Investtech's analyst on the given date based on the price charts of this date. The analysis is meant to be valid for a few weeks, up to a few months. Later price developments may indicate changes in the market and investor optimism, and render the analysis outdated. Investtech's automatic analyses, updated daily, will often reflect such changes.


Period  
Vol.bal. Volatility Liquidity +/- %
1 day-0.59%5 370.61+0.26%
5 days45.661.92%5 480.66+1.64%
22 days-13.724.54%5 749.87+2.00%
66 days2.218.08%5 431.05+3.07%

Previous recommendations

Kari Poblete, Oct 29, 2024 (price 1 449.88)

Det ble en negativ utvikling i markedet mandag, og Hovedindeksen endte på 1450 poeng, noe som er en nedgang på 0.8 prosent.
Hovedindeksen ligger i en stigende trendkanal på mellomlang sikt, og en videre oppgang innenfor denne indikeres. Indeksen tester motstanden ved cirka 1460 poeng. Dette kan gi en reaksjon ned, mens et brudd opp gjennom 1460 poeng vil utløse et kjøpssignal. Ved reaksjoner tilbake er det støtte rundt 1380 og i overkant av 1300 poeng.
Se også Investtechs likeveide indeks for Norge.
Investtechs kortsiktige og langsiktige optimismeindekser (hausseindeksene) ligger på henholdsvis 53 og 48 poeng. Hausseindeksene indikerer at det er ganske jevt mellom optimister og pessimister blant både de kortsiktige og de langsiktige investorene på børsen.
Styremedlemmer, direktører og andre innsidere har rapportert 68 handler den siste måneden. Det er lav handel nå, tidlig i perioden for rapportering av tredjekvartalstall. Siste måned var 79 prosent av handlene kjøp, som er rett under gjennomsnittet for hele det siste året. En stor overvekt av innsidere sender positive signaler ved kjøp av aksjer i egen bedrift.
Konklusjon: Oslo Børs anses svakt positiv på mellomlang sikt (1-6 måneder). Vi anbefaler langsiktige investorer å være investert i markedet hele tiden.

Recommendation one to six months: Weak Positive
Published: Morning Report (Oct 29, 2024 07:59) [KP]

Fredrik Dahl Bråten, Oct 27, 2024 (price 1 461.21)

Det ble en positiv utvikling i markedet fredag, og Hovedindeksen endte på 1461 poeng, noe som er en oppgang på 1.0 prosent. Indeksen brøt med det rekordnoteringen fra 31. juli og satte ny all time high.
Hovedindeksen ligger i en stigende trendkanal på mellomlang sikt, og en videre oppgang innenfor denne indikeres. Indeksen ligger like over motstanden ved 1460 poeng og har utløst et kjøpssignal, vi oppgraderer derfor anbefalingen til kjøp. Signalet vil styrkes om kursen etablerer seg over nivået. Statistisk har aksjer med brudd opp gjennom mostand steget 15,1 prosent annualisert, ifølge Investtech forskning. Ved en reaksjon tilbake er det støtte rundt 1380 og i overkant av 1300 poeng.
Se også Investtechs likeveide indeks for Norge.
Investtechs kortsiktige og langsiktige optimismeindekser (hausseindeksene) ligger på henholdsvis 54 og 49 poeng. Hausseindeksene indikerer at det er jevt mellom optimister og pessimister blant både de kortsiktige og de langsiktige investorene på børsen.
Styremedlemmer, direktører og andre innsidere har rapportert 68 handler den siste måneden. Det er lav handel nå, tidlig i perioden for rapportering av tredjekvartalstall. Siste måned var 78 prosent av handlene kjøp, eksakt det samme som gjennomsnittet for hele det siste året. En stor overvekt av innsidere sender positive signaler ved kjøp av aksjer i egen bedrift.
Konklusjon: Oslo Børs anses positiv på mellomlang sikt (1-6 måneder). Vi anbefaler langsiktige investorer å være investert i markedet hele tiden.

Shippingaksjene har de siste årene steget mye, men flere viser nå tegn på å toppe ut. Enkelte ser ut til å ha toppformasjoner under utvikling og andre har allerede brutt ned.

Recommendation one to six months: Positive
Published: Morning Report (Oct 27, 2024 19:40) [FDB]

Analysts' recommendations last 18 months

chart Analysts' recommendations last 18 months
 Positive/Weak Positive
 Neutral
 Negative/Weak Negative
History of Investtech's analysts' analyses of the stock. Analyses are shown by coloured dots on the day the analysis was based on.
EvaluationTime horizonPricePublishedAnalyst
Weak PositiveMedium term1 468.66       Nov 24, 2024 18:50, Morning ReportFDB
Weak PositiveMedium term1 449.88       Oct 29, 2024 07:59, Morning ReportKP
PositiveMedium term1 461.21       Oct 27, 2024 19:40, Morning ReportFDB
Weak PositiveMedium term1 361.58       Aug 6, 2024 08:37, Morning ReportKP
PositiveMedium term1 342.78       Apr 2, 2024 23:56, Morning ReportFDB
Weak PositiveMedium term1 328.15       Mar 27, 2024 22:05, Morning ReportFDB
NeutralMedium term1 264.02       Feb 18, 2024 14:53, Morning ReportFDB
Weak NegativeMedium term1 247.17       Feb 7, 2024 21:33, Morning ReportFDB
NeutralMedium term1 271.16       Jan 17, 2024 20:26, Morning ReportFDB
Weak PositiveMedium term1 303.96       Jan 9, 2024 08:13, Morning ReportKP
PositiveMedium term1 307.12       Jan 4, 2024 21:46, Morning ReportGL
NeutralMedium term1 299.85       Nov 28, 2023 23:43, Morning ReportFDB
Weak PositiveMedium term1 315.22       Nov 27, 2023 07:21, Morning ReportFDB
NeutralMedium term1 254.72       Oct 24, 2023 07:54, Morning ReportGL
Weak PositiveMedium term1 291.25       Oct 19, 2023 20:24, Morning ReportGL
PositiveMedium term1 295.77       Oct 10, 2023 22:46, Morning ReportFDB
NeutralMedium term1 253.05       Oct 5, 2023 22:09, Morning ReportFDB
Weak PositiveMedium term1 281.21       Oct 2, 2023 21:23, Morning ReportFDB
PositiveMedium term1 278.97       Sep 26, 2023 22:20, Morning ReportFDB

FDB: Fredrik Dahl Bråten (Analyst)

GL: Geir Linløkken (Head of Analyses)

KP: Kari Poblete (Analyst)

Results analysis

Average price development

chart Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 2 results publications
Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 2 results publications
The Candlestick charts show average development on the day before results publication, on day of publication and day after publication. The other charts show average development in the period from one month before to one month after results publication. The day of publication is shown in red. The shaded area is one standard deviation from the average.

Seasonal variations

Seasonal prediction from today's date

chart Seasonal prediction from today's date
The blue line shows average price development the past 10 years, in the period from three months before to six months after today's date. The black line is actual price development in the past three months. Shaded areas are one and two standard deviations.

Monthly and annual statistics

chart Average development per month, last 10 years

Average development per month, last 10 years
chart Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Annual development from 2015 to 2024

chart 2015
2015
chart 2016
2016
chart 2017
2017
chart 2018
2018
chart 2019
2019
chart 2020
2020
chart 2021
2021
chart 2022
2022
chart 2023
2023
chart 2024
2024

Trading limits

Data missing

Early warning

Close prices next day that when broken will generate new signals 
IndicatorPriceObjective
High-RSI1 567.77-
Last close1 468.66-
Short Term Trading Range1 402.42-
Long Term Trading Range1 402.42-
Low-RSI1 344.72-
Indicator:Type of indicator generating the signal
Price:If close price next day has crossed this value, a technical signal is created
Objective:Price target for the positive or negative signal (Only listed for patterns)

Alerts

DatePriceSignal/Trading opportunityTime spanTarget
Nov 21, 20241 464.83RectangleMedium term1 523.20
Nov 21, 20241 464.83Short Term Trading RangeMedium term-1.00
Nov 21, 20241 464.83RectangleShort term1 547.81
Nov 22, 20241 468.66Res broken, close to chart maxShort term1 495.00 - 1 507.00
Nov 22, 20241 468.66REC buy in rising trendMedium term1 517.00 - 1 538.00

Key ratios

Data missing

Help and information - Research shows the importance of Trend, Momentum and Volume

Investtech’s analyses focus on a stock’s trend status, short term momentum and volume development. These are central topics of technical analysis theory that describe changes in investor optimism or fluctuations in a company’s financial development. However, Investtech’s strong focus on these elements is due to research results that clearly indicate causation between these factors and future return on the stock market.

Trend

Rising trend
Theory: Stocks in rising trends will continue to rise.

Psychology/economy: Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. Read more

Research: Stocks in rising trend channels in Investtech’s medium long term charts have been followed by an annualized excess return of 7.8 percentage points compared to average benchmark development. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 34,880 cases of stocks in rising trends on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015.
Read more about the research results here

 

Momentum


Theory: Stocks with rising short term momentum will continue to rise. Stocks with very strong momentum (overbought) will react backwards.

Psychology/economy: RSI above 70 shows strong positive momentum. The stock has risen in the short term without any significant reactions downwards. Investors have kept paying more to buy stocks. This indicates that more investors want to buy the stock and that the price will continue to rise. Read more

Research: Stocks with strong momentum have on average continued to rise, and more so than the average stock listed on the Exchange. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 24,208 cases of stocks on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015 where RSI went above 70 points, indicating strong and increasing short term momentum. On average, annualized, the stocks rose the equivalent of 11.4 percentage points more than the average stock.
Read the research report here

 

Volume


Theory: Rising prices on high volume and falling prices on low volume indicate strength in a stock. Volume can confirm a rising trend or signal that a falling trend is ending.

Psychology/economy: When investors very much want to buy a stock, they have to increase the price to find new sellers. Rising price on high volume shows that some investors are so aggressive that they push the price up to be able to buy the stock. Investtech’s Volume Balance tool measures the relation between price rise and volume and measures investor aggression at rising and falling prices. Read more

Research: Stocks with volume balance above 40 have been followed by an average annual return of 4.7 percentage points on the Nordic Stock Exchanges, shown by research conducted by Investtech into 24,580 cases.
Read the research report here

 

Investtech's analyses

Investtech has combined theory, psychology and research into powerful investment tools.


Read more.

About Investtech

Investtech are behavioural finance and quantitative stock analysis specialists. The company sells analysis products to private, professional and institutional investors. Investtech manage the AIFM company Investtech Invest, which invests customers’ funds in the stock market.

Investtech’s computers analyze more than 28,000 stocks from 12 different countries every day. The analyses are presented in eight languages and sold to customers worldwide. In addition to the automatic analyses, the company’s analysts present subjective assessments and recommendations for some markets. The analyses are available to customers in the form of daily morning reports and cases, and weekly market updates and model portfolios.

Investtech’s algorithms for analysis, ranking and stock recommendations are based on research dating back to 1993. Part of the research was conducted in cooperation with Oslo University and the Norwegian Research Council. Research still has high priority for Investtech. Many of the company’s research results are available for customers on the company’s web site.

The company’s basic product starts at approx. 30 euro per month. Investtech also provides bespoke products for integration on partners’ web sites and for use in newsletters, for example to stock brokers and the media. Contact us by e-mail to info@investtech.com or by phone +47 21 555 888 for more information. A free trial subscription is available to order on our web site www.investtech.com.

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+47 21 555 888

Postal address

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info@investtech.com


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Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading







 


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.

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