OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI.ST)

Close: 956.89 (+9.70), Nov 22, 2024
Complete report

Algorithmic Overall Analysis

Hold (Score: 17)


Nov 22, 2024. Updated daily.

Analyst's Recommendation

Neutral


Nov 24, 2024. 0 days ago.

Analyses


Short

Medium

Long

Overall

Insider

Low risk

Liquidity risk: LowVolatility risk: Low

Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading

Stock data

Period  
Vol.bal. Volatility Liquidity +/- %
1 day-0.66%17 599.61+1.02%
5 days26.462.14%16 087.58-0.05%
22 days-1.405.43%18 285.25-2.89%
66 days4.3710.93%17 261.43-2.50%
Price dateNov 22, 2024
CurrencySEK
ISINSE0000744195
Rise from year low15.64%
Fall from year high-6.17%


Automatic technical analysis. Short term

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) Short term

Short term

Investors have accepted lower prices over time to get out of OMX Stockholm PI and the index is in a falling trend channel in the short term. This signals increasing pessimism among investors and indicates further decline for OMX Stockholm PI. The index is testing resistance at points 960. This could give a negative reaction, but an upward breakthrough of points 960 means a positive signal. Volume has previously been high at price tops and low at price bottoms. This weakens the falling trend and could be an early signal of a coming trend break. The index is overall assessed as technically slightly negative for the short term.

Recommendation one to six weeks: Weak Negative (Score: -43)

Automatic technical analysis. Medium term

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) Medium term

Medium term

OMX Stockholm PI is within an approximate horizontal trend channel in the medium long term. This indicates that investors are uncertain and waiting for signals of further direction. A break upwards will be a positive signal, while a break downwards will be a negative signal. The index is between support at points 927 and resistance at points 970. A definitive break through of one of these levels predicts the new direction. RSI diverges positively against the price, which indicates a possibility for a reaction up. The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which is an early signal of a possible trend reversal upwards for the price as well. The index is overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.

Recommendation one to six months: Hold (Score: 10)

Automatic technical analysis. Long term

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) Long term

Long term

OMX Stockholm PI is in a rising trend channel in the long term. Rising trends indicate that the market experiences positive development and that buy interest among investors is increasing. The index is moving within a rectangle formation between support at 816 and resistance at 1033. A decisive break through one of these levels indicates the new direction for the index. The index has support at points 890 and resistance at points 1020. The index is overall assessed as technically positive for the long term.

Recommendation one to six quarters: Positive (Score: 64)

Full history

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) Full history

Candlesticks 95 days

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) chart0

Candlesticks 22 days

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) chart0

Insider Trades

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) Insider trades reported last 18 months

Insider trades reported last 18 months. The stock is neutral on Insider Trades.

 List date Trade date Count Price Value Text Importance 

Commentaries

chart OMX Stockholm PI (OMXSPI) Medium term

Automatic technical analysis of the stock, based on last closing price. The chart may have changed since the analyst's recommendation was written.

Low risk

Liquidity risk: LowVolatility risk: Low

Analyst's Recommendation

Nov 24, 2024 (0 days ago)
Lars-Göran Westerberg
lars.goran.westerberg@investtech.com

Recommendation one to six months: Neutral

Lars-Göran Westerberg, Nov 24, 2024 (price 956.89)

Stockholmsbörsens breda OMXSPI-index stängde upp +1 procent under fredagen. Slutnoteringen blev 947 punkter. Ser vi till den tekniska bilden på medellång sikt är en stigande trend identifierad, om än den huvudsakliga kursrörelsen varit horisontell sedan i maj. Brott ned genom stöden vid 960-970 kronor försvagar den tekniska bilden. Stöd härunder vid 927 punkter.
Investtechs korta Hausseindex står idag i 30 på kort sikt. Indexet går mellan 0 och 100 och är en optimistindikator som visar andelen aktier på Stockholmsbörsen som haft köpsignal som sista signal. Ett värde mellan cirka 45-55 indikerar jämvikt mellan pessimister och optimister. På lång sikt står indexet i 36. Vi har därmed en övervikt av pessimister på marknaden.
Investtechs insiderbarometer visar antalet köp- och säljtransaktioner som har genomförts av insynspersoner i börsens bolag. Den senaste månaden har det registrerats 641 köp och 118 försäljningar, vilket motsvarar en köpandel på 84 procent. Köpandelen på årsbasis är 79 procent. Investtechs forskning visar att aktier starka på insiderhandel statistiskt överpresterar mot marknaden.
OMXSPI är samlat sett tekniskt neutral på medellång sikt (1-6 månader). Vi rekommenderar långsiktiga investerare att alltid vara investerade på marknaden.
Recommendation one to six months: Neutral

Published: Morning Report (Nov 24, 2024 19:12) [LGW]

 

The analysis is written by Investtech's analyst on the given date based on the price charts of this date. The analysis is meant to be valid for a few weeks, up to a few months. Later price developments may indicate changes in the market and investor optimism, and render the analysis outdated. Investtech's automatic analyses, updated daily, will often reflect such changes.


Period  
Vol.bal. Volatility Liquidity +/- %
1 day-0.66%17 599.61+1.02%
5 days26.462.14%16 087.58-0.05%
22 days-1.405.43%18 285.25-2.89%
66 days4.3710.93%17 261.43-2.50%

Previous recommendations

Lars-Göran Westerberg, Nov 16, 2024 (price 957.38)

Stockholmsbörsens breda OMXSPI-index stängde ned -1,2 procent under fredagen. Slutnoteringen blev 957 punkter. Ser vi till den tekniska bilden på medellång sikt är en stigande trend identifierad, om än den huvudsakliga kursrörelsen varit horisontell sedan i maj. Brott ned genom stöden vid 960-970 kronor försvagar den tekniska bilden. Stöd härunder vid 927 punkter.
Investtechs korta Hausseindex står idag i 32 på kort sikt. Indexet går mellan 0 och 100 och är en optimistindikator som visar andelen aktier på Stockholmsbörsen som haft köpsignal som sista signal. Ett värde mellan cirka 45-55 indikerar jämvikt mellan pessimister och optimister. På lång sikt står indexet i 41. Vi har därmed en övervikt av pessimister på marknaden, särskilt på kort sikt.
Investtechs insiderbarometer visar antalet köp- och säljtransaktioner som har genomförts av insynspersoner i börsens bolag. Den senaste månaden har det registrerats 546 köp och 104 försäljningar, vilket motsvarar en köpandel på 84 procent. Köpandelen på årsbasis är 79 procent. Investtechs forskning visar att aktier starka på insiderhandel statistiskt överpresterar mot marknaden.
OMXSPI är samlat sett tekniskt neutral på medellång sikt (1-6 månader). Vi rekommenderar långsiktiga investerare att alltid vara investerade på marknaden.

Recommendation one to six months: Neutral
Published: Morning Report (Nov 16, 2024 20:03) [LGW]

Lars-Göran Westerberg, Oct 2, 2024 (price 1 008.65)

Stockholmsbörsens breda index (OMXSPI) hade en negativ utveckling under tisdagen. Indexet stängde ned 0,7 procent och slutade på 1009 punkter. Ser vi till den tekniska bilden på medellång sikt är en stigande trend identifierad, om än den huvudsakliga kursrörelsen varit horisontell sedan i maj. Indexet testar nivåerna runt 1000-1013 punkter. Ett etablerat brott upp genom 1010-1013 punkter ger köpsignal.
Investtechs korta Hausseindex står idag i 51 på kort sikt. Indexet går mellan 0 och 100 och är en optimistindikator som visar andelen aktier på Stockholmsbörsen som haft köpsignal som sista signal. Ett värde mellan cirka 45-55 indikerar jämvikt mellan pessimister och optimister. På lång sikt står indexet i 48. Vi har därmed i stort sett jämvikt mellan optimister och pessimister på marknaden på både kort och lång sikt.
Investtechs insiderbarometer visar antalet köp- och säljtransaktioner som har genomförts av insynspersoner i börsens bolag. Den senaste månaden har det registrerats 450 köp och 150 försäljningar, vilket motsvarar en köpandel på 75 procent. Köpandelen på årsbasis är 78 procent. Investtechs forskning visar att aktier starka på insiderhandel statistiskt överpresterar mot marknaden.
OMXSPI är samlat sett tekniskt svagt positiv på medellång sikt (1-6 månader). Närheten till stöd- och motståndsnivåer gör dock att den tekniska bilden, och med det rekommendationen för indexet, kan komma förändras snabbt. Vi rekommenderar långsiktiga investerare att alltid vara investerade på marknaden.

Recommendation one to six months: Weak Positive
Published: Morning Report (Oct 2, 2024 08:44) [LGW]

Analysts' recommendations last 18 months

chart Analysts' recommendations last 18 months
 Positive/Weak Positive
 Neutral
 Negative/Weak Negative
History of Investtech's analysts' analyses of the stock. Analyses are shown by coloured dots on the day the analysis was based on.
EvaluationTime horizonPricePublishedAnalyst
NeutralMedium term956.89       Nov 24, 2024 19:12, Morning ReportLGW
NeutralMedium term957.38       Nov 16, 2024 20:03, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term1 008.65       Oct 2, 2024 08:44, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term1 019.81       Sep 27, 2024 00:54, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term984.56       Sep 17, 2024 08:12, Morning ReportDO
NeutralMedium term960.51       Sep 9, 2024 00:12, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term973.30       Aug 15, 2024 23:08, Morning ReportDO
NeutralMedium term952.06       Aug 4, 2024 22:23, Morning ReportDO
Weak PositiveMedium term993.67       Jul 24, 2024 22:01, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term1 002.24       Jul 22, 2024 22:27, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term993.04       Jul 19, 2024 23:12, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term1 012.72       Jul 14, 2024 00:35, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term971.63       Jun 14, 2024 23:51, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term974.31       May 8, 2024 09:03, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term947.71       Apr 12, 2024 00:41, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term897.93       Feb 13, 2024 08:09, Morning ReportDO
Weak PositiveMedium term882.38       Feb 6, 2024 07:36, Morning ReportDO
PositiveMedium term892.01       Feb 2, 2024 08:46, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term884.03       Jan 4, 2024 08:25, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term889.11       Dec 15, 2023 00:30, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term866.84       Dec 13, 2023 08:57, Morning ReportLGW
PositiveMedium term871.53       Dec 12, 2023 08:27, Morning ReportDO
Weak PositiveMedium term828.70       Nov 23, 2023 00:27, Morning ReportLGW
NeutralMedium term815.85       Nov 15, 2023 08:55, Morning ReportLGW
Weak NegativeMedium term783.58       Nov 3, 2023 08:53, Morning ReportLGW
NegativeMedium term773.50       Oct 20, 2023 08:40, Morning ReportLGW
Weak NegativeMedium term815.90       Aug 16, 2023 07:42, Morning ReportDO
NeutralMedium term834.23       Aug 10, 2023 22:41, Morning ReportDO
Weak NegativeMedium term822.16       Aug 9, 2023 07:23, Morning ReportDO
NeutralMedium term834.02       Jul 24, 2023 00:34, Morning ReportLGW
Weak PositiveMedium term842.78       May 15, 2023 00:28, Morning ReportLGW

DO: David Östblad (Analyst)

LGW: Lars-Göran Westerberg (Analyst)

Seasonal variations

Seasonal prediction from today's date

chart Seasonal prediction from today's date
The blue line shows average price development the past 10 years, in the period from three months before to six months after today's date. The black line is actual price development in the past three months. Shaded areas are one and two standard deviations.

Monthly and annual statistics

chart Average development per month, last 10 years

Average development per month, last 10 years
chart Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Annual development from 2015 to 2024

chart 2015
2015
chart 2016
2016
chart 2017
2017
chart 2018
2018
chart 2019
2019
chart 2020
2020
chart 2021
2021
chart 2022
2022
chart 2023
2023
chart 2024
2024

Early warning

Close prices next day that when broken will generate new signals 
IndicatorPriceObjective
High-RSI1 119.68-
Rectangle1 032.971 294.93
Long Term Trading Range1 019.81-
Short Term Trading Range989.07-
Last close956.89-
Low-RSI904.93-
Indicator:Type of indicator generating the signal
Price:If close price next day has crossed this value, a technical signal is created
Objective:Price target for the positive or negative signal (Only listed for patterns)

Alerts

DatePriceSignalTime spanTarget
Nov 15, 2024957.38Long Term Trading RangeMedium term-1.00

Key ratios

Data missing

Help and information - Research shows the importance of Trend, Momentum and Volume

Investtech’s analyses focus on a stock’s trend status, short term momentum and volume development. These are central topics of technical analysis theory that describe changes in investor optimism or fluctuations in a company’s financial development. However, Investtech’s strong focus on these elements is due to research results that clearly indicate causation between these factors and future return on the stock market.

Trend

Rising trend
Theory: Stocks in rising trends will continue to rise.

Psychology/economy: Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. Read more

Research: Stocks in rising trend channels in Investtech’s medium long term charts have been followed by an annualized excess return of 7.8 percentage points compared to average benchmark development. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 34,880 cases of stocks in rising trends on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015.
Read more about the research results here

 

Momentum


Theory: Stocks with rising short term momentum will continue to rise. Stocks with very strong momentum (overbought) will react backwards.

Psychology/economy: RSI above 70 shows strong positive momentum. The stock has risen in the short term without any significant reactions downwards. Investors have kept paying more to buy stocks. This indicates that more investors want to buy the stock and that the price will continue to rise. Read more

Research: Stocks with strong momentum have on average continued to rise, and more so than the average stock listed on the Exchange. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 24,208 cases of stocks on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015 where RSI went above 70 points, indicating strong and increasing short term momentum. On average, annualized, the stocks rose the equivalent of 11.4 percentage points more than the average stock.
Read the research report here

 

Volume


Theory: Rising prices on high volume and falling prices on low volume indicate strength in a stock. Volume can confirm a rising trend or signal that a falling trend is ending.

Psychology/economy: When investors very much want to buy a stock, they have to increase the price to find new sellers. Rising price on high volume shows that some investors are so aggressive that they push the price up to be able to buy the stock. Investtech’s Volume Balance tool measures the relation between price rise and volume and measures investor aggression at rising and falling prices. Read more

Research: Stocks with volume balance above 40 have been followed by an average annual return of 4.7 percentage points on the Nordic Stock Exchanges, shown by research conducted by Investtech into 24,580 cases.
Read the research report here

 

Investtech's analyses

Investtech has combined theory, psychology and research into powerful investment tools.


Read more.

About Investtech

Investtech are behavioural finance and quantitative stock analysis specialists. The company sells analysis products to private, professional and institutional investors. Investtech manage the AIFM company Investtech Invest, which invests customers’ funds in the stock market.

Investtech’s computers analyze more than 28,000 stocks from 12 different countries every day. The analyses are presented in eight languages and sold to customers worldwide. In addition to the automatic analyses, the company’s analysts present subjective assessments and recommendations for some markets. The analyses are available to customers in the form of daily morning reports and cases, and weekly market updates and model portfolios.

Investtech’s algorithms for analysis, ranking and stock recommendations are based on research dating back to 1993. Part of the research was conducted in cooperation with Oslo University and the Norwegian Research Council. Research still has high priority for Investtech. Many of the company’s research results are available for customers on the company’s web site.

The company’s basic product starts at approx. 30 euro per month. Investtech also provides bespoke products for integration on partners’ web sites and for use in newsletters, for example to stock brokers and the media. Contact us by e-mail to info@investtech.com or by phone +47 21 555 888 for more information. A free trial subscription is available to order on our web site www.investtech.com.

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Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading







 


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.

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