Yara International (YAR.OL)

Viimeinen päätöskurssi: 302.80 (-5.10), 3. huhti 2025
Complete report

Algorithmic Overall Analysis

Heikko myyntisuositus (Pistesumma: -45)


3. huhti 2025. Updated daily.

Analyst's Recommendation

Myy


9. helmi 2025. 54 päivää siitä kun.

Analyysit


Lyhyt

Keskipitkä

Pitkä

Kokonaisanalyysi

Insider

Matala riski

Likviditeettiriski: MatalaVolatiliteettiriski: Matala

Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading

Stock data

Periodi  
Vol.bal. Volatiliteetti Likviditeetti +/- %
1 päivä-1.07%238.53-1.66%
1 viikko-70.613.66%198.15-5.38%
1 kuukausi10.899.30%211.25-3.14%
3 kuukautta-29.2815.57%219.39+0.66%
Price date3. huhti 2025
ValuuttaNOK
ISINNO0010208051
Rise from year low5.25%
Fall from year high-13.97%


Automatic technical analysis. Lyhyt

chart Yara International (YAR) Lyhyt

Lyhyt aikaväli

Osakkeen kurssi on läpäissyt nousutrendin tukilinjan. Tämä indikoi hidastuvaa kasvunopeutta tulevaisuudessa. Osake lähestyy tukea n. 300 kroner­n kohdalla, mikä voi antaa reaktion ylöspäin. RSI on ylimyyty. Osakkeen kurssi saattaa pudota lisää, ja odotamme RSI:n nousevan ennen kuin tämä voidaan tulkita ostosignaaliksi. RSI on ylimyyty. Osakkeen kurssi saattaa pudota lisää, ja odotamme RSI:n nousevan ennen kuin tämä voidaan tulkita ostosignaaliksi. RSI-käyrä näyttää laskevaa trendiä, mikä voi olla aikainen signaali laskevan trendin alkamisesta. Osaketta pidetään kokonaisuutena teknisesti neutraalina lyhyellä aikavälillä.

Recommendation one to six weeks: Hold (Pistesumma: 24)

Automatic technical analysis. Keskipitkä tähtäin

chart Yara International (YAR) Keskipitkä tähtäin

Keskipitkä tähtäin

Osakkeen kurssi on laskutrendissä, mikä indikoi heikon kehityksen jatkuvan. Osakkeen kurssi on rikkonut suorakulmiokuvion pohjan 305 kohdalla. Pysyvä läpäisy indikoi laskua ainakin 251 euroon asti. Osakkeella on tukitaso noin 290 kroner ja vastustaso noin 323 kroner. Osaketta pidetään kokonaisuutena teknisesti negatiivisena keskipitkällä aikavälillä.

Recommendation one to six months: Myy (Pistesumma: -97)

Automatic technical analysis. Pitkä

chart Yara International (YAR) Pitkä

Pitkä aikaväli

Osakkeen kurssi on laskutrendissä ja tämän kehityksen voidaan odottaa jatkuvan. Mikäli korjausliikkeitä tapahtuu, kurssi kohtaa vastusta trendikanavan vastuslinjan kohdalla. Kurssi on saavuttanut tavoitetason 302 murrettuaan tuplahuippukuvion. Osakkeen kurssi on noussut, mutta muodostunut kuvio indikoi laskun jatkuvan. Osake on rikkoutunut alas tukitason läpi n. 310 kroner­n kohdalla ja näin ollen on signalisoitu edelleen tapahtuvaa laskua. Osaketta pidetään kokonaisuutena teknisesti negatiivisena pitkällä aikavälillä.

Recommendation one to six quarters: Myy (Pistesumma: -95)

Max

chart Yara International (YAR) Max

Candlesticks 95 days

chart Yara International (YAR) chart0

Candlesticks 22 days

chart Yara International (YAR) chart0

Sisäpiirikaupat

chart Yara International (YAR) Insider trades reported last 18 months

Insider trades reported last 18 months. The stock is positive on Insider Trades.

 Päivämäärä Tyyppi Lukumäärä Kurssi Arvo Prosentti Varasto Teksti Tärkeys 
 21. maalis 2025 kjøp 2000 339.40 678 100 2000 Styremedlem Harald Thorstein kjøper 2000 100 
 19. heinä 2024 kjøp 5000 315.00 1575 62 8000 Styreleder Trond Berger kjøper 5000 100 
 30. huhti 2024 kjøp 1587 315.00 499 100 1587 Styremedlem Jannicke Hilland kjøper 1587 100 
 30. huhti 2024 kjøp 750 316.60 237 100 750 Styremedlem Therese Log Bergjord kjøper 750 100 
 15. marras 2023 kjøp 1500 375.62 563 14 10196 EVP & CFO Thor Giæver kjøper 1500 83 

Raportit

chart Yara International (YAR) Keskipitkä tähtäin

Automatic technical analysis of the stock, based on last closing price. The chart may have changed since the analyst's recommendation was written.

Matala riski

Likviditeettiriski: MatalaVolatiliteettiriski: Matala

Analyst's Recommendation

9. helmi 2025 (54 päivää siitä kun)
Fredrik Dahl Bråten
fredrik.braten@investtech.com

Recommendation one to six months: Myy

Fredrik Dahl Bråten, 9. helmi 2025 (kurssi 310.30)

Yara International la frem tall for fjerdekvartal fredag forrige uke. Selskapet skuffet på forventningene fra markedet, og falt over syv prosent samme dag. Kursen er nå tilbake i en fallende trendkanal på mellomlang sikt, med en årlig falltakt på 13 prosent. Dette indikerer en økende pessimisme i markedet og signaliserer en videre kursnedgang. Risikoen i selskapet anses som lav, med høyt daglig handelsvolum på børsen og kun ni prosent kurssvingninger i måneden. Aksjen ligger nå mellom motstand ved 322 kroner og støtte ved 300 kroner. Lenger ned er det også støtte ved 290 kroner som kan bremse et videre fall. Fortsetter kursen nedover og bryter gjennom støttenivåene vil nye salgssignal utløses.
Recommendation one to six months: Myy

Julkaistu: Aamuraportti (9. helmi 2025 22:57) [FDB]

 

The analysis is written by Investtech's analyst on the given date based on the price charts of this date. The analysis is meant to be valid for a few weeks, up to a few months. Later price developments may indicate changes in the market and investor optimism, and render the analysis outdated. Investtech's automatic analyses, updated daily, will often reflect such changes.


Periodi  
Vol.bal. Volatiliteetti Likviditeetti +/- %
1 päivä-1.07%238.53-1.66%
1 viikko-70.613.66%198.15-5.38%
1 kuukausi10.899.30%211.25-3.14%
3 kuukautta-29.2815.57%219.39+0.66%

Previous recommendations

Geir Linløkken, 27. syys 2024 (kurssi 327.60)

Selected as Trading Idea

Recommendation one to six weeks: Osto
Julkaistu: Trading ideas (27. syys 2024 07:40) [GL]

Geir Linløkken, 26. syys 2024 (kurssi 327.60)

Kvantitative forhold tilsier sterk utvikling i oktober. Yara har ligget i en fallende trendkanal mesteparten av året, men har nå brutt opp og utløst kjøpssignal fra en omvendt-hode-og-skuldre-formasjon på mellomlang sikt. Slike formasjoner er klassiske innen teknisk analyse, og regnes som sterke signaler om at aksjen har bunnet ut og innledet en stigende trend. I følge Investtechs forskning har aksjer med slike signaler overprestert med 4,3 prosentpoeng på annualisert basis sammenlignet med referanseindeksene.
På kort sikt er den horisontale motstanden ved 322 kroner brutt opp på høyt volum. Sammen med sterkt positivt kortsiktig momentum, med RSI over 70, indikerer dette at kjøperne nå er aggressive. En videre oppgang indikeres.
Yara er positiv på innsidehandler etter at styreleder Trond Berger i juli kjøpte seg opp for 1,6 millioner kroner.
Yara er høylikvid med en gjennomsnittlig daglig omsetning på over 150 millioner kroner. Yara er lavvolatil med månedlige gjennomsnittlige kurssvingninger under 9 prosent. Aksjer med slike karakteristika har statistisk overprestert i oktober ifølge Investtech-indekser for likvdititet og volatilitet.

Recommendation one to six months: Osto
Julkaistu: Aamuraportti (26. syys 2024 20:34), Päivän case (26. syys 2024 20:34) [GL]

Analysts' recommendations last 18 months

chart Analysts' recommendations last 18 months
 Osto/Heikko ostosuositus
 Tarkkaile
 Myy/Heikko myyntisuositus
History of Investtech's analysts' analyses of the stock. Analyses are shown by coloured dots on the day the analysis was based on.
ArviointiAikahorisonttiKurssiJulkaistuAnalyytikko
MyyKeskipitkä tähtäin310.30       9. helmi 2025 22:57, AamuraporttiFDB
OstoLyhyt aikaväli327.60       27. syys 2024 07:40, Trading ideasGL
OstoKeskipitkä tähtäin327.60       26. syys 2024 20:34, Aamuraportti, Päivän caseGL
Heikko myyntisuositusKeskipitkä tähtäin314.40       18. syys 2024 00:53, AamuraporttiFDB
MyyKeskipitkä tähtäin291.10       10. heinä 2024 21:41, AamuraporttiFDB
MyyKeskipitkä tähtäin325.80       4. kesä 2024 08:02, AamuraporttiKP
MyyKeskipitkä tähtäin352.60       5. helmi 2024 11:48, AamuraporttiFDB
MyyKeskipitkä tähtäin361.60       23. loka 2023 08:43, AamuraporttiFDB
Heikko ostosuositusKeskipitkä tähtäin392.00       17. loka 2023 23:31, e24, AamuraporttiFDB

FDB: Fredrik Dahl Bråten (Analytiker)

GL: Geir Linløkken (Forskningssjef)

KP: Kari Poblete (Analytiker)

Tulosanalyysit

Average price development

chart Average price development on day before, of and after the last 5 results publications
Average price development on day before, of and after the last 5 results publications
chart Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 5 results publications
Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 5 results publications
chart Average price development on day before, of and after the last 20 results publications
Average price development on day before, of and after the last 20 results publications
chart Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 20 results publications
Average price development from one month before to one month after the last 20 results publications
The Candlestick charts show average development on the day before results publication, on day of publication and day after publication. The other charts show average development in the period from one month before to one month after results publication. The day of publication is shown in red. The shaded area is one standard deviation from the average.

Results publications in price chart

chart Results publications last 18 months

Results publications last 18 months
 Percentage change days before publication Percentage change days after publication
Publication dateDescription22 d10 d5 d1 dayPublication1 day5 d10 d22 d
Average last 5 results publications1.63-0.57-1.22-0.13-0.490.660.63-1.87-1.72
Average last 20 results publications2.461.420.400.25-0.750.651.120.962.05
The table shows percentage change from a given number of days before results publication to closing price the day before publication, change on the day of results publication and change from closing the day of publication to a given number of days after publication. Detailed charts below.

Seasonal variations

Seasonal prediction from today's date

chart Seasonal prediction from today's date
The blue line shows average price development the past 10 years, in the period from three months before to six months after today's date. The black line is actual price development in the past three months. Shaded areas are one and two standard deviations.

Monthly and annual statistics

chart Average development per month, last 10 years

Average development per month, last 10 years
chart Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Annual development from 2015 to 2024

chart 2015
2015
chart 2016
2016
chart 2017
2017
chart 2018
2018
chart 2019
2019
chart 2020
2020
chart 2021
2021
chart 2022
2022
chart 2023
2023
chart 2024
2024

Trading limits

chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 66 trading days

Average price development quarter by quarter past 66 trading days

Estimated price today

Opening303.25
High304.65
Low301.98
Close303.51
Opening to high 0.46%
Opening to low-0.42%
Opening to close 0.09%
Levels calculated from yesterday's closing price and the stock's fluctuations throughout the day in the past 66 days.


chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 5 trading days
Average past 5 trading days
chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 22 trading days
Average past 22 trading days
chart Average price development quarter by quarter past 250 trading days
Average past 250 trading days

Varoituspalvelu

Seuraavan päivän loppukurssit, jotka rikottaessa laukaisevat uusia signaaleja 
IndikaattoriKurssiObjektiivinen
Korkea RSI404.47-
Lyhyen aikavälin kaupankäyntiväli343.10-
Pitkän aikavälin kaupankäyntiväli343.10-
Lyhyen aikavälin kaupankäyntiväli343.10-
Pitkän aikavälin kaupankäyntiväli343.10-
Viimeinen päätöskurssi302.80-
Alhainen RSI296.47-
Indikaattori:Osto- tai myyntisignaalityyppi
Kurssi:Jos seuraavan päivän loppukurssi rikkoo tämän arvon, annetaan tekninen signaali
Objektiivinen:Kurssitavoite osto- tai myyntisignaalille (Annettu vain kuvioille)

Hälytykset

PäivämääräKurssiSignal/KauppamahdollisuusAikahorisonttiTavoitekurssi
3. huhti 2025302.80SuorakulmioKeskipitkä tähtäin250.51
2. huhti 2025307.90Pitkän aikavälin kaupankäyntiväliKeskipitkä tähtäin-1.00
3. huhti 2025302.80REC-myynti laskevalla trendilläKeskipitkä tähtäin238.57 - 255.45

Key ratios

 

Dividend yield: 1.7%

chart Yara International - Dividend yield

P/E: 453.6

chart Yara International - P/E

P/S: 0.5

chart Yara International - P/S

P/B: 1.0

chart Yara International - P/B

Dividend per share: 4.99

chart Yara International - Dividend per share

Earnings per share: 0.67

chart Yara International - Earnings per share

Revenue per share: 617.14

chart Yara International - Revenue per share

Book value per share: 311.64

chart Yara International - Book value per share

Market cap million NOK: 77 131.


De siste nøkkeltallene er beregnet ut fra de fire siste kvartalsrapportene og sluttkurs 302.80 fra 3. huhti 2025.


Financial data

MNOK2015201620172018201920202021202220232024
Revenues108 01195 24593 479112 556113 35699 028146 588234 161156 999157 202
Profit for the year8 4356 3223 9881 2285 1935 8953 38727 254549170
Profit margin7.8 %6.6 %4.3 %1.1 %4.6 %6.0 %2.3 %11.6 %0.3 %0.1 %
Book value73 89074 44475 54175 59777 84569 55362 65984 25277 01979 383
Equity ratio63.7 %63.7 %60.2 %53.5 %53.3 %49.5 %41.2 %47.8 %47.2 %46.7 %
Revenue per share392.60348.25342.14411.97415.92369.53570.85919.27616.35617.14
Book value per share268.58272.19276.49276.69285.63259.54244.01330.76302.36311.64
Earnings per share33.1124.8215.664.8220.3923.1413.30107.002.160.67
Dividend per share16.2010.746.977.7616.3620.7832.1462.014.884.99
Dividend payout53 %46 %48 %173 %86 %94 %244 %58 %226 %747 %


Dividend yield

chart Yara International - Dividend yield
Dividend yield is the company's share dividend in relation to the share price. It is a measure of return to shareholders. Dividend yield is calculated as Dividend per share/Share price.

Dividend yield for YAR is 1.7%.


P/E - price/earnings

chart Yara International - P/E
P/E stands for Price/Earnings, that is, share price in relation to the earnings per share. The key figures are used when assessing a share price in relation to the company's profit. Example: A P/E number of 10 means that the share costs 10 times the company's annual profit. P/E is calculated as Share price/Earnings after tax per share.

P/E for YAR is 453.6.


P/S - price/sales

chart Yara International - P/S
P/S stands for Price/Sales, that is price relative to sales. The key figures are used when evaluating a share price in relation to the company's sales. Example: A P/S number of 2.0 means that the stock costs 2.0 times the company's annual turnover. P/S is calculated as Share price/Revenue per share.

P/S for YAR is 0.5.


P/B - price/book

chart Yara International - P/B
P/B stands for Price/BookValue, that is price relative to equity. The key figures are used when evaluating a share price in relation to book equity. Example: A P/B figure of 1.8 means that the share costs 1.8 times the company's equity. P/B is calculated as Share price/Equity per share

P/B for YAR is 1.0.

Ohjeita ja tietoja - Research shows the importance of Trend, Momentum and Volume

Investtech’s analyses focus on a stock’s trend status, short term momentum and volume development. These are central topics of technical analysis theory that describe changes in investor optimism or fluctuations in a company’s financial development. However, Investtech’s strong focus on these elements is due to research results that clearly indicate causation between these factors and future return on the stock market.

Trend

Rising trend
Theory: Stocks in rising trends will continue to rise.

Psychology/economy: Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. Read more

Research: Stocks in rising trend channels in Investtech’s medium long term charts have been followed by an annualized excess return of 7.8 percentage points compared to average benchmark development. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 34,880 cases of stocks in rising trends on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015.
Read more about the research results here

 

Momentum


Theory: Stocks with rising short term momentum will continue to rise. Stocks with very strong momentum (overbought) will react backwards.

Psychology/economy: RSI above 70 shows strong positive momentum. The stock has risen in the short term without any significant reactions downwards. Investors have kept paying more to buy stocks. This indicates that more investors want to buy the stock and that the price will continue to rise. Read more

Research: Stocks with strong momentum have on average continued to rise, and more so than the average stock listed on the Exchange. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 24,208 cases of stocks on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015 where RSI went above 70 points, indicating strong and increasing short term momentum. On average, annualized, the stocks rose the equivalent of 11.4 percentage points more than the average stock.
Read the research report here

 

Volume


Theory: Rising prices on high volume and falling prices on low volume indicate strength in a stock. Volume can confirm a rising trend or signal that a falling trend is ending.

Psychology/economy: When investors very much want to buy a stock, they have to increase the price to find new sellers. Rising price on high volume shows that some investors are so aggressive that they push the price up to be able to buy the stock. Investtech’s Volume Balance tool measures the relation between price rise and volume and measures investor aggression at rising and falling prices. Read more

Research: Stocks with volume balance above 40 have been followed by an average annual return of 4.7 percentage points on the Nordic Stock Exchanges, shown by research conducted by Investtech into 24,580 cases.
Read the research report here

 

Investtech's analyses

Investtech has combined theory, psychology and research into powerful investment tools.


Read more.

About Investtech

Investtech are behavioural finance and quantitative stock analysis specialists. The company sells analysis products to private, professional and institutional investors. Investtech manage the AIFM company Investtech Invest, which invests customers’ funds in the stock market.

Investtech’s computers analyze more than 28,000 stocks from 12 different countries every day. The analyses are presented in eight languages and sold to customers worldwide. In addition to the automatic analyses, the company’s analysts present subjective assessments and recommendations for some markets. The analyses are available to customers in the form of daily morning reports and cases, and weekly market updates and model portfolios.

Investtech’s algorithms for analysis, ranking and stock recommendations are based on research dating back to 1993. Part of the research was conducted in cooperation with Oslo University and the Norwegian Research Council. Research still has high priority for Investtech. Many of the company’s research results are available for customers on the company’s web site.

The company’s basic product starts at approx. 30 euro per month. Investtech also provides bespoke products for integration on partners’ web sites and for use in newsletters, for example to stock brokers and the media. Contact us by e-mail to info@investtech.com or by phone +47 21 555 888 for more information. A free trial subscription is available to order on our web site www.investtech.com.

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Investtech AS
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Postal address

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VAT no. 978 655 424 MVA

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www.investtech.com




Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading







 


Investtech ei takaa analyysien tarkkuutta tai kattavuutta. Kaikkien analyysien tuottamien neuvojen ja signaalien käyttäminen on täysin käyttäjän vastuulla. Investtech ei vastaa mistään tappioista, jotka saattavat syntyä Investtechin analyysien käytön seurauksena. Mahdollisten eturistiriitojen yksityiskohdat mainitaan aina sijoitusneuvon yhteydessä. Lisätietoja Investtechin analyyseistä löytyy täältä disclaimer.


Investtech ei takaa analyysien tarkkuutta tai kattavuutta. Kaikkien analyysien tuottamien neuvojen ja signaalien käyttäminen on täysin käyttäjän vastuulla. Investtech ei vastaa mistään tappioista, jotka saattavat syntyä Investtechin analyysien käytön seurauksena. Mahdollisten eturistiriitojen yksityiskohdat mainitaan aina sijoitusneuvon yhteydessä. Lisätietoja Investtechin analyyseistä löytyy täältä disclaimer.

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