Telia Company (TELIA.ST)

Short term

Telia Company shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the short term. Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and that buy interest among investors is increasing. The stock is testing support at kronor 35.50. This could give a positive reaction, but a downward breakthrough of kronor 35.50 means a negative signal. Negative volume balance indicates that sellers are aggressive while buyers are passive, and weakens the stock. The stock is overall assessed as technically positive for the short term.

Recommendation one to six weeks: Positive (Score: 67)

Medium term

Telia Company is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term. This shows that investors over time have bought the stock at higher prices and indicates good development for the company. There is no resistance in the price chart and further rise is indicated. In case of a negative reaction, the stock has support at approximately 32.70 kronor. Negative volume balance shows that volume is higher on days with falling prices than days with rising prices. This indicates decreasing optimism among investors. The stock is overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.

Recommendation one to six months: Positive (Score: 91)

Long term

Telia Company shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the long term. This signals increasing optimism among investors and indicates continued rise. The price has risen strongly since the positive signal from the inverse head and shoulders formation at the break through resistance at 25.11. The objective at 33.50 is now met, but the formation still gives a signal in the same direction. The stock has broken up through resistance at kronor 34.00. This predicts a further rise. In case of negative reactions, there will now be support at kronor 34.00. The volume balance is negative and weakens the stock in the short term. The stock is overall assessed as technically positive for the long term.

Recommendation one to six quarters: Positive (Score: 91)

Investtech’s analyses focus on a stock’s trend status, short term momentum and volume development. These are central topics of technical analysis theory that describe changes in investor optimism or fluctuations in a company’s financial development. However, Investtech’s strong focus on these elements is due to research results that clearly indicate causation between these factors and future return on the stock market.

Trend

Theory: Stocks in rising trends will continue to rise.

Psychology/economy: Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. Read more

Research: Stocks in rising trend channels in Investtech’s medium long term charts have been followed by an annualized excess return of 7.8 percentage points compared to average benchmark development. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 34,880 cases of stocks in rising trends on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015.
Read more about the research results here

 

Momentum

Theory: Stocks with rising short term momentum will continue to rise. Stocks with very strong momentum (overbought) will react backwards.

Psychology/economy: RSI above 70 shows strong positive momentum. The stock has risen in the short term without any significant reactions downwards. Investors have kept paying more to buy stocks. This indicates that more investors want to buy the stock and that the price will continue to rise. Read more

Research: Stocks with strong momentum have on average continued to rise, and more so than the average stock listed on the Exchange. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 24,208 cases of stocks on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015 where RSI went above 70 points, indicating strong and increasing short term momentum. On average, annualized, the stocks rose the equivalent of 11.4 percentage points more than the average stock.
Read the research report here

 

Volume

Theory: Rising prices on high volume and falling prices on low volume indicate strength in a stock. Volume can confirm a rising trend or signal that a falling trend is ending.

Psychology/economy: When investors very much want to buy a stock, they have to increase the price to find new sellers. Rising price on high volume shows that some investors are so aggressive that they push the price up to be able to buy the stock. Investtech’s Volume Balance tool measures the relation between price rise and volume and measures investor aggression at rising and falling prices. Read more

Research: Stocks with volume balance above 40 have been followed by an average annual return of 4.7 percentage points on the Nordic Stock Exchanges, shown by research conducted by Investtech into 24,580 cases.
Read the research report here

 

Investtech's analyses

Investtech has combined theory, psychology and research into powerful investment tools.

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